Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Albina Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland
Tract 41051002402 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,310 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Eviction risk in the Albina area of Portland centers on tract 41051002402, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,310 residents. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,683 monthly, set against $69,966 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,005
Renter share72.0%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$69,966
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5341, -122.6519 · click any tract to drill in
Why Albina scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,683 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How Albina compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 46%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 34%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 395Total filings over 16 yrs
- 1.74%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.1%Peak (2005)
- 15Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 16 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 271Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Albina. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Albina
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051002402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051002402?
Census tract 41051002402 in the Albina neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051002402?
Median gross rent is $1,683/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051002402?
8.4% of residents in tract 41051002402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,310.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051002402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 45th, minority 46th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 41051002402 considered part of Albina?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051002402 fall within Albina (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051002402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 395 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051002402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.74% of renter households, peaking at 3.1% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41051002402 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41051002402 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051002402 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 41051002402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Gateway
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
University District
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
University District
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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