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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Springwater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gresham

Tract 41051010408 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 7,664 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 41051010408 in the Springwater area of Gresham ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 7,664 residents. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,582 a month while the average household earns $72,083 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 21% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,783
Renter share48.5%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$72,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Springwater
Very High
Within parent city
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 22 tracts In Gresham
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#112 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
Moderate
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#393 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gresham and the region

Centroid at 45.4851, -122.4048 · click any tract to drill in

Why Springwater scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,582 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gresham
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gresham
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gresham
7.5

How Springwater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Springwater risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 010408Gresham: 7.47.4Greshamparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,006Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 6.56%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2016)
  • 95Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410510104082000: 41 filings (3.82/100 renter HHs)2001: 57 filings (5.31/100 renter HHs)2002: 34 filings (3.17/100 renter HHs)2003: 51 filings (4.75/100 renter HHs)2004: 46 filings (4.29/100 renter HHs)2005: 50 filings (5.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 93 filings (10.90/100 renter HHs)2007: 55 filings (6.45/100 renter HHs)2008: 70 filings (8.21/100 renter HHs)2009: 67 filings (7.85/100 renter HHs)2010: 69 filings (5.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 65 filings (6.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 69 filings (6.96/100 renter HHs)2014: 86 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 58 filings (5.85/100 renter HHs)2016: 95 filings (10.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 132% over the past 16 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 516Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.43×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-02-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.22× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.11× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 9 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 11 filings (5.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 10 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-02-01: 10 filings (1.43× baseline)2023-03-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 13 filings (6.50× baseline)2023-09-01: 6 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-10-01: 13 filings (1.30× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-12-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2024-01-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 18 filings (2.57× baseline)2024-03-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-05-01: 14 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-06-01: 18 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 12 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 11 filings (5.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 15 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 15 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 11 filings (1.57× baseline)2025-03-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2025-04-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2025-05-01: 19 filings (6.33× baseline)2025-06-01: 12 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 11 filings (11.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 14 filings (7.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 12 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 16 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-11-01: 7 filings (1.40× baseline)2025-12-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 16 filings (2.67× baseline)2026-02-01: 15 filings (2.14× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 20 filings (5.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Springwater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Springwater

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gresham eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Multnomah County average of 6.9 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.43x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051010408

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051010408?

Census tract 41051010408 in the Springwater neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051010408?

Median gross rent is $1,582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051010408?

13.2% of residents in tract 41051010408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,664.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051010408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 95th, minority 51th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 41051010408 considered part of Springwater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051010408 fall within Springwater (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41051010408?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,006 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 41051010408 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.56% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41051010408 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41051010408 compare to Gresham overall?

Tract 41051010408 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Gresham at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gresham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gresham

Top eight tracts in Gresham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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