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Neighborhood · Ranked #79,998 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Bethany

Tract 41067031509 · Washington County, OR · pop 10,179 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 41067031509 runs through Arbor Oaks in Bethany. With 10,179 residents, it scores 5.8/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,101 a month against an average household income of $161,229 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 24% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units3,838
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$161,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Arbor Oaks
Elevated
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bethany
Elevated
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#129 of 134 tracts In Washington County
Very Low
Within state
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#975 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethany and the region

Centroid at 45.5795, -122.8710 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Oaks scores 1.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,101 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethany
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethany
4.1

How Arbor Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.41.4This tracttract 031509Bethany: 6.96.9Bethanyparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 154Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2016)
  • 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 410670315092012: 37 filings (6.93/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (2.81/100 renter HHs)2014: 14 filings (2.62/100 renter HHs)2015: 18 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2016: 39 filings (4.78/100 renter HHs)2018: 31 filings (3.80/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 6 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 212Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (0.20× baseline)2022-04-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 2 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 5 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-01-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 4 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-04-01: 8 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2024-06-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (1.14× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-11-01: 9 filings (9.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2025-01-01: 9 filings (1.13× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.29× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (0.67× baseline)2026-01-01: 8 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 12 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbor Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Oaks

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethany eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 5.9 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.70x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 154 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.8% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41067031509

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41067031509?

Census tract 41067031509 in the Arbor Oaks neighborhood scores 1.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41067031509?

Median gross rent is $2,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41067031509?

5.5% of residents in tract 41067031509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,179.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41067031509?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 39th, minority 75th, housing 48th.
Q5

Is tract 41067031509 considered part of Arbor Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41067031509 fall within Arbor Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41067031509?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41067031509 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 41067031509 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 41067031509 compare to Bethany overall?

Tract 41067031509 scores 1.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bethany at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethany eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethany

Top eight tracts in Bethany ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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