Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethany
Tract 41067031509 · Washington County, OR · pop 10,179 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 41067031509 in the Arbor Oaks area of Bethany, OR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 10,179. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.4/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units3,838
Renter share41.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$161,229
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethany and the region
Centroid at 45.5795, -122.8710 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbor Oaks scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,101 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethany
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethany
4.1
How Arbor Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 48%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 154Total filings over 6 yrs
- 4.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2016)
- 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 6 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 212Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.70×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbor Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbor Oaks
The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Disability prevalence runs 18.0% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.2 points below the Washington County average of 6.1.
Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 154 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.1/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $161,229, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41067031509
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41067031509?
Census tract 41067031509 in the Arbor Oaks neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41067031509?
Median gross rent is $2,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41067031509?
5.5% of residents in tract 41067031509 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 10,179.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41067031509?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 39th, minority 75th, housing 48th.
Q5
Is tract 41067031509 considered part of Arbor Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41067031509 fall within Arbor Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41067031509?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41067031509 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.05% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41067031509 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.70× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41067031509 compare to Bethany overall?
Tract 41067031509 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bethany at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethany eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethany
Top eight tracts in Bethany ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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