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Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethany

Tract 41067031520 · Washington County, OR · pop 7,676 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

41067031520 is a census tract in the Arbor Oaks area of Bethany, OR. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,676 residents. roughly one in four of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Washington County average of 45.7%.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 18% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,101
Renter share23.7%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$177,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Arbor Oaks
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Bethany
Very Low
Within county
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#123 of 134 tracts In Washington County
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#823 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bethany and the region

Centroid at 45.5604, -122.8219 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arbor Oaks scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,116 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethany
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethany
4.1

How Arbor Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arbor Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.7This tracttract 0315206.0Bethanyparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 11Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arbor Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arbor Oaks

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 56.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $3,116 a month, rents run 39% over what the rest of Bethany commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 17.1% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Washington County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41067031520

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41067031520?

Census tract 41067031520 in the Arbor Oaks neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41067031520?

Median gross rent is $3,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41067031520?

2.7% of residents in tract 41067031520 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,676.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41067031520?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 22th, minority 64th, housing 8th.
Q5

Is tract 41067031520 considered part of Arbor Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41067031520 fall within Arbor Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41067031520 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41067031520 compare to Bethany overall?

Tract 41067031520 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bethany at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethany eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bethany

Top eight tracts in Bethany ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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