Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethany
Tract 41067031514 · Washington County, OR · pop 6,847 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 41067031514 covers part of the Arbor Oaks area of Bethany, OR, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,847 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Washington County average of 45.7%.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units2,889
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$117,617
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
20
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethany and the region
Centroid at 45.5571, -122.8455 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arbor Oaks scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.7
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,059 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethany
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethany
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethany
4.1
How Arbor Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 96Total filings over 6 yrs
- 2.63%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2015)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 148Total filings 2020-21
- 1.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Arbor Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arbor Oaks
32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.2/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 96 filings here across 6 tracked years. It sits 0.9 points below the Washington County average of 6.1.
Running hot, local political climate reads 7.1/10. The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.8% of renter households were served. At $2,059 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Bethany commands.
In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41067031514
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41067031514?
Census tract 41067031514 in the Arbor Oaks neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41067031514?
Median gross rent is $2,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41067031514?
4.2% of residents in tract 41067031514 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,847.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41067031514?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 52th, minority 56th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 41067031514 considered part of Arbor Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41067031514 fall within Arbor Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41067031514?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 96 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 41067031514 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.63% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 41067031514 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 41067031514 compare to Bethany overall?
Tract 41067031514 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Bethany at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethany eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethany
Top eight tracts in Bethany ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related