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Neighborhood · Bethany, OR

Arbor Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 27,522 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4–5.2

Arbor Oaks spans 4 census tracts of Bethany, OR, population 27,522. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Bethany rate of 28.2%.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 4 to 5.2. A 1.2-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

The voucher gap is 17.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Court records carry 290 eviction filings across its 3 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 6.2% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 2.7% in 2018, is well off that peak. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $2,338, close to the Bethany average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
4 tracts · population-weighted
Arbor Oaks vs Bethany How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.4% +40%
Bethany: 28.2%
Average gross rent
$2,338 +4%
Bethany: $2,245
Average HH income
$154,631 -6%
Bethany: $164,315
Poverty rate
4.0% +8%
Bethany: 3.7%
Renter share
33.1% -2%
Bethany: 33.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbor Oaks and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 4–5.2

Why Arbor Oaks scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 4.3–5.5 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 6.9–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.5–4.1 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
4.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.4 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.8–10.0 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Arbor Oaks vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arbor Oaks score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.8Arbor OaksNeighborhood6.0Parent cityhost city6.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arbor Oaks?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.2 points from 4 to 5.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Arbor Oaks

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
41067031514 5.2 6,847 63% $2,059
41067031509 4.9 10,179 43% $2,101
41067031520 4.7 7,676 23% $3,116
41067031511 4 2,820 13% $1,750
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 26

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 21%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 37%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 65%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 26%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arbor Oaks

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 290Total filings (sum)
  • 3.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.82%Latest filed (2018)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 414Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.6Avg monthly observed
  • 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.97×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA).

Frequently asked

About Arbor Oaks

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arbor Oaks?

Arbor Oaks scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arbor Oaks compare to Bethany overall?

Arbor Oaks scores 1.2 points lower than Bethany overall (6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,338 vs $2,245.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arbor Oaks?

Average gross rent in Arbor Oaks is $2,338/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arbor Oaks residents are renters?

33% of Arbor Oaks households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Bethany). The neighborhood has 27,522 residents.
Q5

Is Arbor Oaks a high social-vulnerability area?

Arbor Oaks sits in the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arbor Oaks have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arbor Oaks is census tract 41067031514 (score 5.2/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 5.2, a spread of 1.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Arbor Oaks for landlords?

Arbor Oaks carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bethany as a whole (6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arbor Oaks?

Arbor Oaks has 27,830 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (36.3%), Other / Multiracial (6.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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