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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Greater Kahkwa Eviction Risk: Lower , Erie

Tract 42049000200 · Erie County, PA · pop 3,518 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

42049000200 is a census tract in the Greater Kahkwa area of Erie, PA. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,518 residents. Against Erie County at 42.3%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 10% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,816
Renter share29.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$73,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Greater Kahkwa
Moderate
Within parent city
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 31 tracts In Erie
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#47 of 73 tracts In Erie County
Low
Within state
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#2,398 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erie and the region

Centroid at 42.1192, -80.1266 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greater Kahkwa scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$882 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0

How Greater Kahkwa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greater Kahkwa risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0002004.4Erieparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 1.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.5%Peak (2005)
  • 10Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42049000200
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greater Kahkwa

30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

It sits 0.9 points below the Erie County average of 4.3. Court records carry 78 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.9/10. The worst year on record was 2005, when 2.5% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $73,333, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 42049000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000200?

Census tract 42049000200 in the Greater Kahkwa neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42049000200?

Median gross rent is $882/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000200?

6.8% of residents in tract 42049000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,518.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 52th, minority 21th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 42049000200 considered part of Greater Kahkwa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049000200 fall within Greater Kahkwa (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.82% of renter households, peaking at 2.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42049000200 compare to Erie overall?

Tract 42049000200 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Erie at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 42049000200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erie

Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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