South Erie Hillside Eviction Risk: Moderate

The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 42.3%. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $22,050, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

It sits 1.5 points above the Erie County average of 4.3. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Average gross rent is $699, 20% below the Erie average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 340 filings here across 7 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2001, when 6.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Erie. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.