Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally
Central Eastside Eviction Risk: Elevated , Erie
Tract 42049001700 · Erie County, PA · pop 2,651 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 42049001700 belongs to the Central Eastside area of Erie, Pennsylvania. It is home to 2,651 residents and scores 6.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 49% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $915 a month against an average household income of $44,657 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units931
Renter share44.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate31.4%
Median income$44,657
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1214, -80.0543 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Eastside scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erie
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
31.4% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$915 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erie
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erie
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erie
5.0
How Central Eastside compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 80%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 479Total filings over 7 yrs
- 13.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.3%Peak (2006)
- 78Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Eastside. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Eastside
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 479 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 13.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 16.3% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42049001700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049001700?
Census tract 42049001700 in the Central Eastside neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42049001700?
Median gross rent is $915/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049001700?
31.4% of residents in tract 42049001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049001700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 95th, minority 62th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 42049001700 considered part of Central Eastside?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42049001700 fall within Central Eastside (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049001700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 479 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42049001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.95% of renter households, peaking at 16.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 42049001700 compare to Erie overall?
Tract 42049001700 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Erie at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erie eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 42049001700 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Burton
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Saint Mary
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Little Italy
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Eastside Eagles
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
South Erie Hillside
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
West Bayfront
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Kingtown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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