Downtown Erie Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 42049000100 · Erie County, PA · pop 1,365 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The Downtown Erie area of Erie is where census tract 42049000100 sits, home to 1,365 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #15,179 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 44% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $397 monthly, set against $14,846 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 97% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Erie and the region
Centroid at 42.1261, -80.0830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Erie scores 6.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Downtown Erie compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 9%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 357Total filings over 7 yrs
- 4.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.0%Peak (2002)
- 47Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Erie
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Erie eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 5.6 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 9% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 357 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.0% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 42049000100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42049000100?
What is the average rent in tract 42049000100?
What is the poverty rate in tract 42049000100?
How socially vulnerable is tract 42049000100?
Is tract 42049000100 considered part of Downtown Erie?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42049000100?
How does tract 42049000100 compare to Erie overall?
Was tract 42049000100 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Erie
Top eight tracts in Erie ranked by composite eviction-risk score.