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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,036 of 84,120 nationally

West End Theatre District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

Tract 42077001900 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 3,974 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 42077001900 in West End Theatre District in Allentown ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,974 residents. That is riskier than about 79% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $844 a month against an average household income of $30,714 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 71% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 46% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units1,898
Renter share71.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate32.7%
Median income$30,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In West End Theatre District
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6100, -75.4928 · click any tract to drill in

Why West End Theatre District scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
32.7% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$844 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How West End Theatre District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West End Theatre District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 001900Allentown: 5.05.0Allentownparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 338Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 5.24%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2004)
  • 60Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420770019002000: 35 filings (3.74/100 renter HHs)2001: 39 filings (4.16/100 renter HHs)2002: 42 filings (4.48/100 renter HHs)2003: 40 filings (4.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 62 filings (6.62/100 renter HHs)2005: 60 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2006: 60 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 71% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West End Theatre District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West End Theatre District

What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 338 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2004.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077001900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077001900?

Census tract 42077001900 in the West End Theatre District neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077001900?

Median gross rent is $844/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077001900?

32.7% of residents in tract 42077001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,974.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077001900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 98th, minority 73th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 42077001900 considered part of West End Theatre District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077001900 fall within West End Theatre District (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077001900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 338 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.24% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077001900 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077001900 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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