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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

West End Theatre District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown

Tract 42077002201 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 4,334 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 42077002201 reflects conditions in the West End Theatre District neighborhood of Allentown, Pennsylvania. On the national scale it ranks #17,248 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,283 monthly, set against $65,662 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 11% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,095
Renter share28.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$65,662

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In West End Theatre District
Very Low
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Very Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#757 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.6079, -75.5034 · click any tract to drill in

Why West End Theatre District scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,283 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How West End Theatre District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West End Theatre District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 002201Allentown: 5.05.0Allentownparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 164Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 4.04%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.8%Peak (2006)
  • 38Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420770022012000: 16 filings (2.68/100 renter HHs)2001: 24 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)2002: 9 filings (1.51/100 renter HHs)2003: 29 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (3.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 28 filings (5.04/100 renter HHs)2006: 38 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 138% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West End Theatre District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West End Theatre District

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 164 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077002201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077002201?

Census tract 42077002201 in the West End Theatre District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077002201?

Median gross rent is $1,283/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077002201?

12.3% of residents in tract 42077002201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,334.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077002201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 72th, minority 71th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 42077002201 considered part of West End Theatre District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077002201 fall within West End Theatre District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077002201?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077002201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.04% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077002201 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077002201 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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