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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

West End Theatre District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Allentown

Tract 42077002202 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 5,031 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 42077002202 covers part of the West End Theatre District area of Allentown, PA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 39%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 28% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units909
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$44,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In West End Theatre District
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Low
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#500 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.5982, -75.5021 · click any tract to drill in

Why West End Theatre District scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How West End Theatre District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West End Theatre District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0022025.2Allentownparent city4.7Countyavg tract in county4.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2003)
  • 18Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 42077002202
Filings climbed 80% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West End Theatre District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West End Theatre District

62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Lehigh County average of 45.1%. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $44,676, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 1.8 points above the Lehigh County average of 4.7. Court records carry 130 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2003 at 4.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10. Statewide the PA average is 4.6, so this tract runs 1.9 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,321, close to the Allentown average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077002202?

Census tract 42077002202 in the West End Theatre District neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077002202?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077002202?

14.5% of residents in tract 42077002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,031.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 22th, minority 45th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 42077002202 considered part of West End Theatre District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077002202 fall within West End Theatre District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077002202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077002202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.89% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077002202 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077002202 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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