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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally

West End Theatre District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Allentown

Tract 42077002202 · Lehigh County, PA · pop 5,031 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

The West End Theatre District neighborhood of Allentown is where census tract 42077002202 sits, home to 5,031 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,321 monthly, set against $44,676 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 73% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46% Stable renters 28% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units909
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.5%
Median income$44,676

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In West End Theatre District
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#19 of 28 tracts In Allentown
Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 81 tracts In Lehigh County
High
Within state
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#480 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Allentown and the region

Centroid at 40.5982, -75.5021 · click any tract to drill in

Why West End Theatre District scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Allentown
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
14.5% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Allentown
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Allentown
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Allentown
5.5

How West End Theatre District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West End Theatre District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.95.9This tracttract 002202Allentown: 5.05.0Allentownparent cityCounty: 4.04.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 130Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 2.89%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2003)
  • 18Filings in 2006 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2006
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 420770022022000: 10 filings (1.54/100 renter HHs)2001: 19 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (4.01/100 renter HHs)2004: 20 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)2006: 18 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 80% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West End Theatre District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West End Theatre District

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Allentown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lehigh County average of 5.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 130 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 2.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.0% of renter households in 2003.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 42077002202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42077002202?

Census tract 42077002202 in the West End Theatre District neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 42077002202?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 42077002202?

14.5% of residents in tract 42077002202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,031.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 42077002202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 22th, minority 45th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 42077002202 considered part of West End Theatre District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42077002202 fall within West End Theatre District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42077002202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 42077002202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.89% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 42077002202 compare to Allentown overall?

Tract 42077002202 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Allentown at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Allentown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Allentown

Top eight tracts in Allentown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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