Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Girard Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003701 ·
Philadelphia County, PA · pop 5,396 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
In the Girard Estates neighborhood of Philadelphia, census tract 42101003701 scores 6.8/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,528 monthly, set against $69,896 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%Stable renters 18%Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$69,896
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67th percentile
#2 of 4 tracts In Girard Estates
Elevated
Within parent city
48th percentile
#214 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia
Moderate
Within county
46th percentile
#221 of 408 tracts In Philadelphia County
Moderate
Within state
81th percentile
#653 of 3,445 tracts In Pennsylvania
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9277, -75.1807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Girard Estates scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,528 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Girard Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
74%Socioeconomic
20%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
431Total filings over 4 yrs
12.19%Avg annual filing rate
17.6%Peak (2011)
82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2010 to 2016
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
150Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly (observed)
5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
0.36×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Girard Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 100% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.
The tract is Black and Asian and ranks around the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003701?
Census tract 42101003701 in the Girard Estates neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003701?
Median gross rent is $1,528/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003701?
19.3% of residents in tract 42101003701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,396.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 20th, minority 83th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003701 considered part of Girard Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003701 fall within Girard Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.19% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003701 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003701 scores 5.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.