Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Girard Estates Eviction Risk: Elevated , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003701 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 5,396 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
42101003701 is a census tract in the Girard Estates area of Philadelphia, PA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,396 residents. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share32.3%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate19.3%
Median income$69,896
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9277, -75.1807 · click any tract to drill in
Why Girard Estates scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
19.3% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,528 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Girard Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 431Total filings over 4 yrs
- 12.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2011)
- 82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 150Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Girard Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Girard Estates
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.2/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 44% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
Court records carry 431 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,528, 9% above the Philadelphia average.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 17.6% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Philadelphia. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003701?
Census tract 42101003701 in the Girard Estates neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003701?
Median gross rent is $1,528/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003701?
19.3% of residents in tract 42101003701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,396.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 20th, minority 83th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003701 considered part of Girard Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003701 fall within Girard Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.19% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003701 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003701 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003701 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003701 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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