Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Girard Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003800 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,851 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 42101003800 (the Girard Estates area of Philadelphia, Pennsylvania) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 77th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
32% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,446 monthly, set against $94,538 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$94,538
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9185, -75.1831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Girard Estates scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,446 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Girard Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 56%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2010)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Girard Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Girard Estates
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Philadelphia County average of 6.8 and above the Pennsylvania statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 55 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.5% of renter households in 2010.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003800?
Census tract 42101003800 in the Girard Estates neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003800?
Median gross rent is $1,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003800?
7.5% of residents in tract 42101003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,851.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 51th, minority 26th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003800 considered part of Girard Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003800 fall within Girard Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.90% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003800 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003800 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · PA
Northwood
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Juniata
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Hartranft
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Somerville
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Strawberry Mansion
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Southwest Schuylkill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Tioga Park
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · PA
Yorktown
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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