Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Girard Estates Eviction Risk: Moderate , Philadelphia
Tract 42101003800 · Philadelphia County, PA · pop 3,851 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 42101003800 covers part of the Girard Estates area of Philadelphia, PA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,851. Cost burden runs 32% here against 49.1% across Philadelphia County.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,657
Renter share15.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$94,538
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Philadelphia and the region
Centroid at 39.9185, -75.1831 · click any tract to drill in
Why Girard Estates scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Philadelphia
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Pennsylvania legislature & governorship
3.4
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,446 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Philadelphia
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Philadelphia
7.5
How Girard Estates compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 56%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2010)
- 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 27Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Palm Beach as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Girard Estates. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Girard Estates
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.
Against the Philadelphia County average of 6.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 55 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 5.5% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 4.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 42101003800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 42101003800?
Census tract 42101003800 in the Girard Estates neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 42101003800?
Median gross rent is $1,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 42101003800?
7.5% of residents in tract 42101003800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,851.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 42101003800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 51th, minority 26th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 42101003800 considered part of Girard Estates?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 42101003800 fall within Girard Estates (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 42101003800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 42101003800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.90% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 42101003800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Palm Beach), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 42101003800 compare to Philadelphia overall?
Tract 42101003800 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Philadelphia at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Philadelphia eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 42101003800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 56% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Philadelphia
Top eight tracts in Philadelphia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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