Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Fruit Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Providence
Tract 44007002400 · Providence County, RI · pop 8,783 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 7.1/10, tract 44007002400 in the Fruit Hill area of Providence, RI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units2,409
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$85,450
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8436, -71.4493 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fruit Hill scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How Fruit Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 55%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 39%Grade B
- 22%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 2 yrs
- 4.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2016)
- 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 105Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fruit Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 13.1%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 21.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fruit Hill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 7.5/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Providence County average of 5.7.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7/10.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Providence. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the RI average is 5.3, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 40% of renters.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007002400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007002400?
Census tract 44007002400 in the Fruit Hill neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007002400?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007002400?
18.8% of residents in tract 44007002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,783.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007002400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 31th, minority 55th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 44007002400 considered part of Fruit Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007002400 fall within Fruit Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007002400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007002400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.42% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007002400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007002400 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007002400 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007002400 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007002400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Downtown
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Edgewood
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
8
/ 10 · High
Related