Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally
College Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Providence
Tract 44007003602 · Providence County, RI · pop 6,105 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 44007003602 belongs to the College Hill area of Providence, Rhode Island. It is home to 6,105 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 94% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,269 monthly, set against $131,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units726
Renter share33.1%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate18.1%
Median income$131,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Providence and the region
Centroid at 41.8288, -71.4043 · click any tract to drill in
Why College Hill scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Providence
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Rhode Island legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
18.1% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$2,269 rent vs county FMR
9.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Providence
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Providence
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Providence
6.5
How College Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 75%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 16Total filings over 2 yrs
- 2.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2016)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 12Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within College Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.2%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 21.7%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in College Hill
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Providence eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Providence County average of 6.1 and above the Rhode Island statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 44007003602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007003602?
Census tract 44007003602 in the College Hill neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 44007003602?
Median gross rent is $2,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 44007003602?
18.1% of residents in tract 44007003602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 44007003602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 0th, minority 56th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 44007003602 considered part of College Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007003602 fall within College Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007003602?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007003602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.90% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 44007003602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 44007003602 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 44007003602 compare to Providence overall?
Tract 44007003602 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Providence at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 44007003602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Providence
Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wesleyan Avenue Historic District
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Wanskuck
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Elmwood
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Bridgham-Arch-Wilson Street Historic District
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Merino
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · RI
Manton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Related