Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Wesleyan Avenue Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Providence

Tract 44007000700 · Providence County, RI · pop 2,624 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

44007000700 is a census tract in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District area of Providence, RI. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,624 residents. 46% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 34% Owners 12%

Tract context

Occupied units1,243

Renter share87.5%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate41.2%

Median income$18,498

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Providence and the region

Centroid at 41.8138, -71.4171 · click any tract to drill in

Why Wesleyan Avenue Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Providence

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

Rhode Island legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

41.2% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,050 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Providence

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Providence

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Providence

6.5

How Wesleyan Avenue Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

95%Socioeconomic
85%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
92%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

260Total filings over 2 yrs
15.11%Avg annual filing rate
17.3%Peak (2016)
141Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

596Total filings 2020-21
7.7Avg monthly (observed)
8.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.93×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Portland, OR as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

35.6%Housing insecurity
24.6%Utility-shutoff threat
46.7%Food insecurity
47.8%SNAP enrollment
22.3%Transit barriers
20.2%No health insurance
22.9%Frequent mental distress
45.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Wesleyan Avenue Historic District

Against Providence County at 43.2%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 68% of average household income of $18,498, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 46.7% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 47.8% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Providence County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.5/10. At $1,050 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Providence commands. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.5/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 260 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 17.3% of renter households.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 44007000700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 44007000700?

Census tract 44007000700 in the Wesleyan Avenue Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 44007000700?

Median gross rent is $1,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 44007000700?

41.2% of residents in tract 44007000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,624.

How socially vulnerable is tract 44007000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 85th, minority 89th, housing 92th.

Is tract 44007000700 considered part of Wesleyan Avenue Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 44007000700 fall within Wesleyan Avenue Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 44007000700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 260 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 44007000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.11% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 44007000700 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.93× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Portland, OR), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 44007000700 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 44007000700 compare to Providence overall?

Tract 44007000700 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Providence at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Providence eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 44007000700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Providence

Top eight tracts in Providence ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org