Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Turtle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Conway
Tract 45051070300 · Horry County, SC · pop 4,294 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 45051070300 runs through the Turtle Creek neighborhood of Conway. With 4,294 residents, it scores 6.3/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 82% of US census tracts.
About 57% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $616 a month against an average household income of $32,881 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 51% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,000
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate25.2%
Median income$32,881
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Conway and the region
Centroid at 33.8535, -79.0654 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turtle Creek scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Conway
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
South Carolina legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
25.2% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$616 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Conway
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Conway
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Conway
7.1
How Turtle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 829Total filings over 5 yrs
- 23.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 28.7%Peak (2012)
- 164Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.3%Housing insecurity
- 14.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.0%Food insecurity
- 21.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 15.6%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 39.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turtle Creek
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Conway eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Horry County average of 5.3 and above the South Carolina statewide average of 5.5. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 829 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 23.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 28.7% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 45051070300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 45051070300?
Census tract 45051070300 in the Turtle Creek neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 45051070300?
Median gross rent is $616/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 45051070300?
25.2% of residents in tract 45051070300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,294.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 45051070300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 77th, minority 60th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 45051070300 considered part of Turtle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 45051070300 fall within Turtle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 45051070300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 829 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 45051070300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.73% of renter households, peaking at 28.7% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 45051070300 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 45051070300 compare to Conway overall?
Tract 45051070300 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Conway at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Conway eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Conway
Top eight tracts in Conway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · SC
Bells Bay
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · SC
Pinecrest
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
Harvest Ridge
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
45051070702
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
Country Club Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · SC
Aviary at Wild Wing
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
Kingston Oaks
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · SC
45051070102
3
/ 10 · Low
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