Germantown Nashville, TN Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 47037014200 · Davidson County, TN · pop 2,361 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 47037014200 covers part of the Germantown Nashville, TN area of Nashville, TN, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,361. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1669, -86.8037 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown Nashville, TN scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Germantown Nashville, TN compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 91%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 379Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 13.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown Nashville, TN. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Germantown Nashville, TN
Average gross rent is $812, 49% below the Nashville average. The poverty rate is 49%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $25,455, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.7/10.
Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Nashville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #29,336 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 47037014200
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037014200?
What is the average rent in tract 47037014200?
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037014200?
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037014200?
Is tract 47037014200 considered part of Germantown Nashville, TN?
Did eviction filings in tract 47037014200 drop during COVID?
How does tract 47037014200 compare to Nashville overall?
Was tract 47037014200 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.