Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville
Tract 47037016400 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,413 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 47037016400 in the The Gulch area of Nashville, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,413. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units1,291
Renter share82.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$59,261
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
75
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Nashville and the region
Centroid at 36.1402, -86.7966 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Gulch scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Nashville
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,243 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nashville
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nashville
3.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nashville
3.1
How The Gulch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 72%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 28%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 62Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Gulch
83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.7/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.
Cost burden runs 55% here against 46.0% across Davidson County. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. At $1,243 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Nashville commands.
Against the Davidson County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 47037016400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037016400?
Census tract 47037016400 in the The Gulch neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47037016400?
Median gross rent is $1,243/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47037016400?
17.5% of residents in tract 47037016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47037016400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 3th, minority 51th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 47037016400 considered part of The Gulch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037016400 fall within The Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47037016400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47037016400 compare to Nashville overall?
Tract 47037016400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47037016400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Nashville
Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5.2
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5.2
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TN
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/ 10 · Moderate
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.2
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5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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5.2
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