Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

The Gulch Eviction Risk: Moderate , Nashville

Tract 47037016400 · Davidson County, TN · pop 4,413 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 47037016400 belongs to The Gulch in Nashville-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), Tennessee. It is home to 4,413 residents and scores 4.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #58,192 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,243 a month against an average household income of $59,261 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 37% Owners 18%

Tract context

Occupied units1,291

Renter share82.7%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate17.5%

Median income$59,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nashville and the region

Centroid at 36.1402, -86.7966 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Gulch scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Nashville

6.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.6

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

17.5% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,243 rent vs county FMR

1.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Nashville

1.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Nashville

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Nashville

3.1

How The Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

75%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
51%Racial/ethnic minority
76%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
72%Grade B
0%Grade C
28%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

62Total filings 2020-21
0.8Avg monthly (observed)
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Nashville, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Gulch

What moves this score most is economic stress at 4.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nashville eviction risk-Davidson metropolitan government (balance), while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Davidson County average of 4.5 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.86x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

Part of this tract, about 28% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47037016400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47037016400?

Census tract 47037016400 in the The Gulch neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47037016400?

Median gross rent is $1,243/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47037016400?

17.5% of residents in tract 47037016400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47037016400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 3th, minority 51th, housing 76th.

Is tract 47037016400 considered part of The Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47037016400 fall within The Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 47037016400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Nashville eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.

How does tract 47037016400 compare to Nashville overall?

Tract 47037016400 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Nashville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nashville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 47037016400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Nashville

Top eight tracts in Nashville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org