Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Smyrna Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47149040303 · Rutherford County, TN · pop 2,864

47149040303 is a census tract in Smyrna, TN. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,864. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 25% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units942

Renter share55.3%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$64,167

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Smyrna and the region

Centroid at 35.9643, -86.5119 · click any tract to drill in

Why Smyrna scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Smyrna

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,376 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Smyrna

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Smyrna

8.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Smyrna

5.9

How Smyrna compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
82%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Smyrna

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. Against Rutherford County at 47.9%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.2 points above the Rutherford County average of 3.9.

Nationally it ranks #31,049 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10.

Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,376, close to the Smyrna average.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $64,167. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47149040303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47149040303?

Census tract 47149040303 in Smyrna scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47149040303?

Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47149040303?

13.5% of residents in tract 47149040303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,864.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47149040303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 82th, minority 60th, housing 16th.

How does tract 47149040303 compare to Smyrna overall?

Tract 47149040303 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Smyrna at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Smyrna eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Smyrna

Top eight tracts in Smyrna ranked by composite eviction-risk score.