Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Disability prevalence runs 49.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $33,000, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 67% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.9/10. At $919 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Memphis commands.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Cost burden runs 54% here against 48.3% across Shelby County.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.1/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.