Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Elevated , Memphis
Tract 47157007000 ·
Shelby County, TN · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.6/10 for census tract 47157007000 reflects conditions in Orange Mound in Memphis, Tennessee. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,006 a month against an average household income of $22,367 a year, roughly 54% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%Stable renters 32%Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,360
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$22,367
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 9 tracts In Orange Mound
Very High
Within parent city
95th percentile
#10 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Very High
Within county
97th percentile
#9 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
95th percentile
#89 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Memphis and the region
Centroid at 35.1117, -89.9561 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orange Mound scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5
How Orange Mound compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
99%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
86%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
36%Grade B
62%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,018Total filings 2020-21
13.4Avg monthly (observed)
18.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–20212020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orange Mound. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Memphis eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Shelby County average of 4.9 and above the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 47157007000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007000?
Census tract 47157007000 in the Orange Mound neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 47157007000?
Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007000?
52.6% of residents in tract 47157007000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 73th, minority 86th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 47157007000 considered part of Orange Mound?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157007000 fall within Orange Mound (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 47157007000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 47157007000 compare to Memphis overall?
Tract 47157007000 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 47157007000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Memphis
Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.