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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Orange Mound Eviction Risk: Moderate , Memphis

Tract 47157007000 · Shelby County, TN · pop 2,696 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47157007000 in the Orange Mound area of Memphis, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 32% Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,360
Renter share77.2%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$22,367

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 9 tracts In Orange Mound
Moderate
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#18 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1117, -89.9561 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orange Mound scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Orange Mound compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orange Mound risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0070004.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,018Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 18.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orange Mound. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orange Mound

Annualized rent equals 54% of average household income of $22,367, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 50.6% against 31.5% nationally. This is renter territory: 77% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against Shelby County at 48.3%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Shelby County average of 4.3. Average gross rent is $1,006, 15% below the Memphis average.

Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Memphis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157007000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157007000?

Census tract 47157007000 in the Orange Mound neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157007000?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157007000?

52.6% of residents in tract 47157007000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,696.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157007000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 73th, minority 86th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 47157007000 considered part of Orange Mound?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47157007000 fall within Orange Mound (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 47157007000 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 47157007000 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157007000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 47157007000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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