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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157020521 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,146

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 47157020521 in Memphis, TN reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 31% Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share65.0%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate21.3%
Median income$35,959

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.2442, -89.9586 · click any tract to drill in

Why Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
21.3% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,228 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0205214.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 593Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 9.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Memphis

Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income of $35,959, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 48.3% against 31.5% nationally.

This is renter territory: 65% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.9/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Against Shelby County at 48.3%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Memphis eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157020521

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020521?

Census tract 47157020521 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157020521?

Median gross rent is $1,228/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020521?

21.3% of residents in tract 47157020521 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,146.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020521?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 80th, minority 97th, housing 59th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 47157020521 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Memphis eviction risk, TN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 47157020521 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157020521 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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