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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Memphis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 47157020543 · Shelby County, TN · pop 3,026

Census tract 47157020543 covers part of Memphis, TN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,026 residents. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,373
Renter share69.5%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$41,791

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 197 tracts In Memphis
Moderate
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 249 tracts In Shelby County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#39 of 1,701 tracts In Tennessee
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Memphis and the region

Centroid at 35.1941, -89.9495 · click any tract to drill in

Why Memphis scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Memphis
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Tennessee legislature & governorship
1.9
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,085 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Memphis
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Memphis
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Memphis
4.5

How Memphis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Memphis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0205434.0Memphisparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,541Total filings 2020-21
  • 20.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Memphis, TN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Memphis

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.9/10.

The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Shelby County average of 48.3%.

Disability prevalence runs 44.4% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Shelby County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 3/10. At $1,085 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Memphis commands. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 8.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 47157020543

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47157020543?

Census tract 47157020543 in Memphis scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 47157020543?

Median gross rent is $1,085/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 47157020543?

27.8% of residents in tract 47157020543 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,026.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 47157020543?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 62th, minority 93th, housing 88th.
Q5

How does tract 47157020543 compare to Memphis overall?

Tract 47157020543 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Memphis at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Memphis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Memphis

Top eight tracts in Memphis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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