Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Charbray Eviction Risk: Moderate , Johnson City

Tract 47179060402 · Washington County, TN · pop 3,830 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 47179060402 in the Charbray neighborhood of Johnson City ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,830 residents. On the national scale it ranks #73,040 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,187 a month while the average household earns $67,838 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 8% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,800

Renter share40.1%

SVI overall0.36

Poverty rate10.9%

Median income$67,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Johnson City and the region

Centroid at 36.3386, -82.3957 · click any tract to drill in

Why Charbray scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Johnson City

2.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

3.2

State political climate

Tennessee legislature & governorship

1.9

Economic stress

10.9% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$1,187 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Johnson City

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Johnson City

2.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Johnson City

2.5

How Charbray compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
73%Housing & transportation

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Charbray

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Johnson City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 4.0 and in line with the Tennessee statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 47179060402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 47179060402?

Census tract 47179060402 in the Charbray neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 47179060402?

Median gross rent is $1,187/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 47179060402?

10.9% of residents in tract 47179060402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,830.

How socially vulnerable is tract 47179060402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 35th, minority 23th, housing 73th.

Is tract 47179060402 considered part of Charbray?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 47179060402 fall within Charbray (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 47179060402 compare to Johnson City overall?

Tract 47179060402 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Johnson City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Johnson City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Johnson City

Top eight tracts in Johnson City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.