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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Shavano Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio

Tract 48029181813 · Bexar, TX · pop 8,751 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

How risky is Shavano Forest in San Antonio for landlords? Census tract 48029181813 scores 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 45th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,374 a month against an average household income of $53,345 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 83% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 35% Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units3,677
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$53,345

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Shavano Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#159 of 321 tracts In San Antonio
Moderate
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#161 of 375 tracts In Bexar
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#2,323 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Antonio and the region

Centroid at 29.5567, -98.5799 · click any tract to drill in

Why Shavano Forest scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0

How Shavano Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Shavano Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 181813San Antonio: 2.82.8San Antonioparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 521Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 5.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.9%Peak (2005)
  • 63Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2008
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 480291818132000: 11 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)2001: 27 filings (3.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 70 filings (8.63/100 renter HHs)2003: 71 filings (8.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 53 filings (6.54/100 renter HHs)2005: 92 filings (7.94/100 renter HHs)2006: 78 filings (6.74/100 renter HHs)2007: 56 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2008: 63 filings (5.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 473% over the past 9 months.
Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Shavano Forest

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 4.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Bexar County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 521 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 6.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.9% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48029181813

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181813?

Census tract 48029181813 in the Shavano Forest neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48029181813?

Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181813?

13.2% of residents in tract 48029181813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,751.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181813?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 60th.
Q5

Is tract 48029181813 considered part of Shavano Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181813 fall within Shavano Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181813?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 521 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181813 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.95% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48029181813 compare to San Antonio overall?

Tract 48029181813 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio

Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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