Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Shavano Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Antonio
Tract 48029181813 · Bexar, TX · pop 8,751 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 48029181813 covers part of the Shavano Forest area of San Antonio, TX, and scores 4.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,751 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units3,677
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$53,345
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across San Antonio and the region
Centroid at 29.5567, -98.5799 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shavano Forest scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from San Antonio
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,374 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Antonio
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Antonio
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Antonio
3.0
How Shavano Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 72%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 521Total filings over 9 yrs
- 5.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.9%Peak (2005)
- 63Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 473% over the past 9 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shavano Forest
This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Bexar County at 48.2%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 19.8% against 11.3% nationally. Court records carry 521 eviction filings across 9 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2005 at 7.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 47% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Bexar County average of 4.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,374, close to the San Antonio average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 48029181813
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48029181813?
Census tract 48029181813 in the Shavano Forest neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48029181813?
Median gross rent is $1,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48029181813?
13.2% of residents in tract 48029181813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,751.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48029181813?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 72th, minority 83th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 48029181813 considered part of Shavano Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48029181813 fall within Shavano Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48029181813?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 521 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 48029181813 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.95% of renter households, peaking at 7.9% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 48029181813 compare to San Antonio overall?
Tract 48029181813 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of San Antonio at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Antonio eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in San Antonio
Top eight tracts in San Antonio ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Blue Star
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029171502
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Government Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029131100
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48029161000
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Monticello Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denver Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Prospect Hill
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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