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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Southmost Eviction Risk: Moderate , Brownsville

Tract 48061013903 · Cameron, TX · pop 3,918 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 48061013903 in the Southmost area of Brownsville, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 56% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 10% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,192
Renter share28.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate25.4%
Median income$33,036

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 8 tracts In Southmost
Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 60 tracts In Brownsville
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 121 tracts In Cameron
Elevated
Within state
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2,275 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Brownsville and the region

Centroid at 25.9010, -97.4629 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southmost scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Brownsville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
25.4% poverty · this tract
6.4
Supply constraint
$1,101 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Brownsville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Brownsville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Brownsville
3.5

How Southmost compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southmost risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0139033.4Brownsvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 34Total filings over 3 yrs
  • 3.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2015)
  • 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2015 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48061013903
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southmost. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southmost

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 42.8% across Cameron County. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.7% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $33,036 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.1% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,101, 19% above the Brownsville average. The voucher gap is 16.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 34 filings here across 3 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 5.0% of renter households.

In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48061013903

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48061013903?

Census tract 48061013903 in the Southmost neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48061013903?

Median gross rent is $1,101/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48061013903?

25.4% of residents in tract 48061013903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,918.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48061013903?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 99th, minority 100th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 48061013903 considered part of Southmost?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48061013903 fall within Southmost (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48061013903?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 34 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 48061013903 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.16% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48061013903 compare to Brownsville overall?

Tract 48061013903 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Brownsville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Brownsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Brownsville

Top eight tracts in Brownsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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