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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Roanoke Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 48121020311 · Denton, TX · pop 3,223 · 79% of tract blocks fall in Roanoke

With a score of 4/10, tract 48121020311 in Roanoke, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 53% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units1,838
Renter share85.5%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate0.6%
Median income$87,219

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Roanoke
Very High
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 193 tracts In Denton
Elevated
Within state
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#2,721 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roanoke and the region

Centroid at 32.9992, -97.2199 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roanoke scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roanoke
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,822 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roanoke
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roanoke
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roanoke
3.5

How Roanoke compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roanoke risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 020311Roanoke: 4.04.0Roanokeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 369Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.94×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-02-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2022-02-01: 8 filings (2.13× baseline)2022-03-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2022-04-01: 8 filings (4.57× baseline)2022-05-01: 10 filings (6.67× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (2.46× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (3.27× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-09-01: 9 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-01-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2023-07-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-01-01: 12 filings (4.80× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (1.60× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (2.29× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 13 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.82× baseline)2024-08-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2024-09-01: 13 filings (4.33× baseline)2024-10-01: 12 filings (4.80× baseline)2024-11-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 9 filings (3.60× baseline)2025-01-01: 8 filings (3.20× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-04-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (2.15× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2025-09-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-11-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2026-01-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 14 filings (140.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roanoke

85% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.5% across Denton County. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,822, close to the Roanoke average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020311

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020311?

Census tract 48121020311 in Roanoke scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020311?

Median gross rent is $1,822/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020311?

0.6% of residents in tract 48121020311 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,223.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020311?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 6th, minority 68th, housing 63th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020311 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121020311 compare to Roanoke overall?

Tract 48121020311 scores 4/10, right in line with the parent city of Roanoke at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roanoke; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roanoke

Top eight tracts in Roanoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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