Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally
Prosper Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020128 · Denton, TX · pop 11,849 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Prosper
The Moderate-tier score of 5.1/10 for census tract 48121020128 reflects conditions in Prosper, Texas. It lands near the 41st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,550 a month against an average household income of $166,713 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units3,882
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$166,713
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
12
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
3
th percentile
Very Low
National
2
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Prosper and the region
Centroid at 33.2406, -96.8652 · click any tract to drill in
Why Prosper scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Prosper
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,550 rent vs county FMR
8.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Prosper
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Prosper
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Prosper
3.3
How Prosper compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 5%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 16%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 158Total filings 2020-21
- 2.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.77×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Prosper
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 8.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Prosper, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Denton County average of 5.0 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.77x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020128
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020128?
Census tract 48121020128 in Prosper scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020128?
Median gross rent is $2,550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020128?
3.9% of residents in tract 48121020128 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,849.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020128?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 31th, minority 64th, housing 16th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020128 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.77× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020128 compare to Prosper overall?
Tract 48121020128 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Prosper at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Prosper; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Prosper
Top eight tracts in Prosper ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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