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Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Paloma Creek South Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 48121020135 · Denton, TX · pop 6,390 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Paloma Creek South

48121020135 is a census tract in Paloma Creek South, TX. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,390 residents. Average gross rent is $1,729, 35% below the Paloma Creek South average.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,379
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$105,674

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Paloma Creek South
Very High
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 193 tracts In Denton
Moderate
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#3,589 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Paloma Creek South and the region

Centroid at 33.2137, -96.9157 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paloma Creek South scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,729 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paloma Creek South
3.5

How Paloma Creek South compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paloma Creek South risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 020135Paloma Creek South: 3.63.6Paloma Creek Southparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 668Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 15.90×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 24 filings (48.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 34 filings (136.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 27 filings (108.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-11-01: 6 filings (12.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 8 filings (32.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 7 filings (28.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 21 filings (28.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 18 filings (24.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 8 filings (32.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 48 filings (96.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 21 filings (84.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 23 filings (92.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 21 filings (28.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 16 filings (21.33× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (28.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 18 filings (180.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 19 filings (25.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 10 filings (13.33× baseline)2022-10-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 10 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 26 filings (104.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 7 filings (14.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 11 filings (44.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2023-06-01: 10 filings (40.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (80.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 19 filings (25.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 6 filings (24.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 11 filings (22.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 12 filings (48.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 8 filings (32.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 10 filings (13.33× baseline)2024-05-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (9.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 3 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (8.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 17 filings (22.67× baseline)2025-05-01: 9 filings (12.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 10 filings (13.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (5.33× baseline)2025-10-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 8 filings (16.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 15 filings (150.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 10 filings (100.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paloma Creek South

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.

9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $105,674.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48121020135

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020135?

Census tract 48121020135 in Paloma Creek South scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48121020135?

Median gross rent is $1,729/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020135?

6.0% of residents in tract 48121020135 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,390.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020135?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 2th, minority 69th, housing 6th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 48121020135 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 15.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 48121020135 compare to Paloma Creek South overall?

Tract 48121020135 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Paloma Creek South at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paloma Creek South; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Paloma Creek South

Top eight tracts in Paloma Creek South ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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