Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Denton Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 48121020405 · Denton, TX · pop 4,974 · 47% of tract blocks fall in Denton
48121020405 is a census tract in Denton, TX. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,974 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,611
Renter share20.8%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$120,352
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Denton and the region
Centroid at 33.2506, -97.2043 · click any tract to drill in
Why Denton scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Denton
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,864 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
3.5
How Denton compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 151Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.90×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Fort Worth, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Denton
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. At $1,864 a month, rents run 31% over what the rest of Denton commands.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Denton County average of 3.8 closely.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $120,352.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 48121020405
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48121020405?
Census tract 48121020405 in Denton scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48121020405?
Median gross rent is $1,864/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48121020405?
8.3% of residents in tract 48121020405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,974.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48121020405?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 27th, minority 34th, housing 66th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 48121020405 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.90× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Fort Worth eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 48121020405 compare to Denton overall?
Tract 48121020405 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Denton at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Denton
Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021203
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021204
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Denton Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121021304
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48121020507
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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