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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , El Paso

Tract 48141001700 · El Paso, TX · pop 1,108 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

48141001700 is a census tract in the Downtown Historic District area of El Paso, TX. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,108 residents. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 54% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units310
Renter share98.7%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate59.2%
Median income$28,542

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Downtown Historic District
Very High
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 149 tracts In El Paso
High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 188 tracts In El Paso
Very High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#1,124 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Paso and the region

Centroid at 31.7596, -106.4874 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Historic District scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Paso
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
59.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$550 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Paso
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Paso
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Paso
3.5

How Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0017003.5El Pasoparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 7Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 3.48%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.5%Peak (2012)
  • 7Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Historic District

Average gross rent is $550, 49% below the El Paso average. Adults with no health insurance runs 46.2% against 11.3% nationally.

The poverty rate is 59%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.3% against 31.5% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.0 points above the El Paso County average of 3.9. The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 1 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48141001700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48141001700?

Census tract 48141001700 in the Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48141001700?

Median gross rent is $550/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48141001700?

59.2% of residents in tract 48141001700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,108.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48141001700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 47th, minority 90th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 48141001700 considered part of Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48141001700 fall within Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48141001700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 48141001700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.48% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 48141001700 compare to El Paso overall?

Tract 48141001700 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of El Paso at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Paso eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48141001700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Paso

Top eight tracts in El Paso ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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