Fresno Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 47.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Set annual rent against average income of $77,132 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.

At $2,259 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Fresno commands. On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Fort Bend County average of 3.8 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.