Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Holiday Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201232703 · Harris, TX · pop 2,297 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Moderate-tier score of 5.5/10 for census tract 48201232703 reflects conditions in the Holiday Forest neighborhood of Houston, Texas. On the national scale it ranks #37,426 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,199 a month against an average household income of $53,458 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 4%
Tract context
Occupied units843
Renter share95.8%
SVI overall0.92
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$53,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7733, -95.2217 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holiday Forest scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,199 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Holiday Forest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 92
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 761Total filings 2020-21
- 9.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holiday Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holiday Forest
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 92nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201232703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201232703?
Census tract 48201232703 in the Holiday Forest neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201232703?
Median gross rent is $1,199/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201232703?
27.4% of residents in tract 48201232703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,297.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201232703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 92th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 68th, minority 96th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 48201232703 considered part of Holiday Forest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201232703 fall within Holiday Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201232703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201232703 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201232703 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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