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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Holiday Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201232701 · Harris, TX · pop 7,941 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 48201232701 sits in the Holiday Forest area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 40.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 27% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units2,483
Renter share72.1%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate33.2%
Median income$38,835

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Holiday Forest
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#238 of 952 tracts In Houston
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#91 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7886, -95.2278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holiday Forest scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.2% poverty · this tract
8.3
Supply constraint
$1,078 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Holiday Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Holiday Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2327013.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,267Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 12.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.3%Peak (2012)
  • 112Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201232701
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,041Total filings 2020-21
  • 13.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 15.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Holiday Forest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holiday Forest

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 49.5% across Harris County.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Set annual rent against average income of $38,835 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Disability prevalence runs 43.8% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,078, 21% below the Houston average. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

Court records carry 1,267 eviction filings across 7 observed years. The worst year on record was 2012, when 18.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.3% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 10/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201232701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201232701?

Census tract 48201232701 in the Holiday Forest neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201232701?

Median gross rent is $1,078/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201232701?

33.2% of residents in tract 48201232701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,941.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201232701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 98th, minority 97th, housing 99th.
Q5

Is tract 48201232701 considered part of Holiday Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201232701 fall within Holiday Forest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201232701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,267 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201232701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.32% of renter households, peaking at 18.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201232701 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201232701 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201232701 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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