Within neighborhood
17
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311300 · Harris, TX · pop 4,496 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 48201311300 belongs to the Pecan Park area of Houston, Texas. It is home to 4,496 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 9% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,352 monthly, set against $65,702 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,246
Renter share22.6%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$65,702
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
47
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
62
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7097, -95.2946 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 5%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 90Total filings over 7 yrs
- 2.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.9%Peak (2010)
- 15Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 92Total filings 2020-21
- 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.20×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.20x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311300?
Census tract 48201311300 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311300?
Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311300?
11.2% of residents in tract 48201311300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,496.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 41th, minority 99th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311300 considered part of Pecan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311300 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201311300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 90 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201311300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.62% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.20× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201311300 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311300 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201311300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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