Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311502 · Harris, TX · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
For landlords sizing up the Pecan Park neighborhood of Houston, census tract 48201311502 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It lands near the 52nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
57% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $980 monthly, set against $50,667 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share52.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$50,667
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7100, -95.2796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 18%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 257Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.85x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311502?
Census tract 48201311502 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311502?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311502?
20.9% of residents in tract 48201311502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 91th, minority 97th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311502 considered part of Pecan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311502 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201311502 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311502 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201311502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201221400
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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