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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201311502 · Harris, TX · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

48201311502 is a census tract in the Pecan Park area of Houston, TX. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,745 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 23% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,048
Renter share52.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate20.9%
Median income$50,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Pecan Park
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#319 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#341 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,025 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7100, -95.2796 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Park scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.9% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Pecan Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 3115023.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 257Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $980 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 57% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201311502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311502?

Census tract 48201311502 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201311502?

Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311502?

20.9% of residents in tract 48201311502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,745.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 91th, minority 97th, housing 88th.
Q5

Is tract 48201311502 considered part of Pecan Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311502 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 48201311502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 48201311502 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201311502 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 48201311502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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