Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311502 · Harris, TX · pop 3,745 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
48201311502 is a census tract in the Pecan Park area of Houston, TX. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,745 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 45.2% against 11.3% nationally.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7100, -95.2796 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 18%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 257Total filings 2020-21
- 3.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.85×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. At $980 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Houston commands. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Cost burden runs 57% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Disability prevalence runs 43.9% against 31.5% nationally.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
That is riskier than roughly 61% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 48201311502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311502?
What is the average rent in tract 48201311502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311502?
Is tract 48201311502 considered part of Pecan Park?
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311502 drop during COVID?
How does tract 48201311502 compare to Houston overall?
Was tract 48201311502 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.