7 census tracts · pop 22,752 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10
· range 3.6–5.1
Pecan Park spans 7 census tracts of Houston, TX, population 22,752. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 32.1% citywide, putting Pecan Park 14.0% over its own city.
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 21% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2/10. Scores across the 7 constituent tracts range from 3.6 to 5.1. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. At $1,080 a month, rents sit 21% under what the rest of Houston commands.
The poverty rate is 22%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 417 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 2.5/10.
Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 7.7% of renter households. Among the 397 mapped neighborhoods of Houston, it ranks #86 by risk, the upper third.
Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, Brookwood Forest and Southmore Plaza score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
7 tracts · population-weighted
Pecan Park vs HoustonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Pecan Park
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
417Total filings (sum)
2.50%Avg annual filing rate
7.7%Peak year (2015)
2.71%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,599Total filings 2020-21
2.9Avg monthly observed
1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
2.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston, TX).
Frequently asked
About Pecan Park
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pecan Park?
Pecan Park scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pecan Park compare to Houston overall?
Pecan Park scores 0.8 points higher than Houston overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,080 vs $1,361.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pecan Park?
Average gross rent in Pecan Park is $1,080/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pecan Park residents are renters?
57% of Pecan Park households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Houston). The neighborhood has 22,752 residents.
Q5
Is Pecan Park a high social-vulnerability area?
Pecan Park sits in the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Pecan Park have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Pecan Park is census tract 48201311600 (score 5.1/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5.1, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7
How safe is Pecan Park for landlords?
Pecan Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Houston as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Pecan Park?
Pecan Park has 21,391 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (87.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
