Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311501 · Harris, TX · pop 2,474 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 48201311501 in the Pecan Park area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,474. Cost burden runs about a quarter here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units958
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate18.5%
Median income$59,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7052, -95.2868 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.5% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 27%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 110Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.29×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
Adults with no health insurance runs 36.0% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $980, 28% below the Houston average. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Houston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311501?
Census tract 48201311501 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311501?
Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311501?
18.5% of residents in tract 48201311501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,474.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 77th, minority 94th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311501 considered part of Pecan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311501 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.29× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201311501 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311501 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201311501 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Fifth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Houmont Park
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
East Haven
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Independence Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Southbrook
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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