Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201311200 · Harris, TX · pop 4,250 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Pecan Park in Houston is where census tract 48201311200 sits, home to 4,250 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,070 a month against an average household income of $64,258 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$64,258
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7190, -95.2992 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,070 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 91
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 18%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2012)
- 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 443Total filings 2020-21
- 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 3.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and in line with the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.27x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311200?
Census tract 48201311200 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311200?
Median gross rent is $1,070/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311200?
10.3% of residents in tract 48201311200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,250.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 97th, minority 85th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311200 considered part of Pecan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311200 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201311200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201311200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311200 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201311200 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311200 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 48201311200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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