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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201311200 · Harris, TX · pop 4,250 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

48201311200 is a census tract in the Pecan Park area of Houston, TX. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,250. Adults with no health insurance runs 33.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 35% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,629
Renter share60.2%
SVI overall0.91
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$64,258

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Pecan Park
Very Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#534 of 952 tracts In Houston
Moderate
Within county
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#601 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
Moderate
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#3,403 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7190, -95.2992 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Park scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,070 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Pecan Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 3112003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 207Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 3.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2012)
  • 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201311200
Filings climbed 29% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 443Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.27×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Harris County average of 49.5%. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

At $1,070 a month, rents run 21% under what the rest of Houston commands. Court records carry 207 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.1% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 3.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201311200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311200?

Census tract 48201311200 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201311200?

Median gross rent is $1,070/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311200?

10.3% of residents in tract 48201311200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,250.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 97th, minority 85th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 48201311200 considered part of Pecan Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311200 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201311200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201311200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.66% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201311200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201311200 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201311200 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201311200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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