Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston
Tract 48201311702 · Harris, TX · pop 2,004 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 48201311702 belongs to the Pecan Park area of Houston, Texas. It is home to 2,004 residents and scores $1/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 74% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,138 a month while the average household earns $29,265 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. Renters make up 92% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 51%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units682
Renter share92.2%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate51.5%
Median income$29,265
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.7011, -95.2991 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pecan Park scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
51.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Pecan Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 57%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 381Total filings 2020-21
- 5.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201311702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311702?
Census tract 48201311702 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201311702?
Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311702?
51.5% of residents in tract 48201311702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,004.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 85th, minority 98th, housing 57th.
Q5
Is tract 48201311702 considered part of Pecan Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311702 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201311702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201311702 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201311702 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 48201311702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
48201222702
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Remington Ranch
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Related