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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Pecan Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201311600 · Harris, TX · pop 4,312 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 48201311600 covers part of the Pecan Park area of Houston, TX, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,312. Adults with no health insurance runs 44.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43% Stable renters 57% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,491
Renter share99.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$43,958

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Pecan Park
Very High
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#63 of 952 tracts In Houston
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.7011, -95.2862 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pecan Park scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$938 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Pecan Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pecan Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3116003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 0.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2011)
  • 3Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201311600
Filings dropped 57% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 111Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 4.62×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pecan Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pecan Park

This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $938, 31% below the Houston average. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.

Cost burden runs 43% here against 49.5% across Harris County. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 33 filings here across 6 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 0.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 0.4% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201311600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201311600?

Census tract 48201311600 in the Pecan Park neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201311600?

Median gross rent is $938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201311600?

36.0% of residents in tract 48201311600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,312.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201311600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 22th, minority 98th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 48201311600 considered part of Pecan Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201311600 fall within Pecan Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201311600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 48201311600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.39% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201311600 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 4.62× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201311600 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201311600 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 48201311600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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