Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Bowling Green Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pasadena
Tract 48201322600 · Harris, TX · pop 5,020 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Tract 48201322600 covers Bowling Green in Pasadena in Texas. Home to 5,020 residents, it scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #63,418 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,330 a month while the average household earns $71,265 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,688
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate11.2%
Median income$71,265
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pasadena and the region
Centroid at 29.6986, -95.1560 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bowling Green scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pasadena
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.2% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,330 rent vs county FMR
3.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pasadena
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pasadena
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pasadena
2.5
How Bowling Green compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 86
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 185Total filings over 7 yrs
- 3.97%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.1%Peak (2014)
- 27Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 84Total filings 2020-21
- 1.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bowling Green. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bowling Green
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 3.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pasadena eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Harris County average of 5.2 and below the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 185 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 4.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2014.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.50x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201322600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201322600?
Census tract 48201322600 in the Bowling Green neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201322600?
Median gross rent is $1,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201322600?
11.2% of residents in tract 48201322600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,020.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201322600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 89th, minority 87th, housing 54th.
Q5
Is tract 48201322600 considered part of Bowling Green?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201322600 fall within Bowling Green (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201322600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 185 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201322600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 48201322600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 48201322600 compare to Pasadena overall?
Tract 48201322600 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Pasadena at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pasadena eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pasadena
Top eight tracts in Pasadena ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Deer Creek
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201323300
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkview South
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201323000
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Firwood Village
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201323802
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Deer Creek
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
48201323400
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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