Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Elevated , Houston
Tract 48201321001 · Harris, TX · pop 3,039 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 48201321001, home to 3,039 residents in the Gulf Palms area of Houston, scores 5.8/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #27,948 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,064 a month while the average household earns $42,107 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,050
Renter share58.3%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate37.5%
Median income$42,107
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6322, -95.2289 · click any tract to drill in
Why Gulf Palms scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
37.5% poverty · this tract
9.4
Supply constraint
$1,064 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Gulf Palms compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,194Total filings 2020-21
- 15.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.37x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201321001
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321001?
Census tract 48201321001 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201321001?
Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321001?
37.5% of residents in tract 48201321001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,039.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321001?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 78th, minority 94th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 48201321001 considered part of Gulf Palms?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321001 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201321001 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201321001 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201321001 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Fondren Gardens
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
East Houston
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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