Neighborhood · Ranked #53,699 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston

Tract 48201321200 · Harris, TX · pop 4,883 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Gulf Palms in Houston is where census tract 48201321200 sits, home to 4,883 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #27,949 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

67% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,084 a month while the average household earns $38,256 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 24% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units1,430

Renter share74.4%

SVI overall0.99

Poverty rate36.2%

Median income$38,256

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6369, -95.2004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Houston

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Texas legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

36.2% poverty · this tract

9.0

Supply constraint

$1,084 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Houston

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Houston

3.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Houston

2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

100%Socioeconomic
83%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

424Total filings over 7 yrs
9.20%Avg annual filing rate
14.7%Peak (2014)
86Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings climbed 18% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

337Total filings 2020-21
4.4Avg monthly (observed)
4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
1.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321200?

Census tract 48201321200 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 48201321200?

Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321200?

36.2% of residents in tract 48201321200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,883.

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 83th, minority 95th, housing 95th.

Is tract 48201321200 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321200 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201321200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 424 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201321200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.20% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.

How does tract 48201321200 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201321200 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.