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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Gulf Palms Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston

Tract 48201321200 · Harris, TX · pop 4,883 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 5.1/10, tract 48201321200 in the Gulf Palms area of Houston, TX reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,883 residents. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 50% Stable renters 24% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share74.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate36.2%
Median income$38,256

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Gulf Palms
High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#296 of 952 tracts In Houston
Elevated
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#141 of 1,115 tracts In Harris
High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#565 of 6,884 tracts In Texas
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Houston and the region

Centroid at 29.6369, -95.2004 · click any tract to drill in

Why Gulf Palms scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.2% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,084 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5

How Gulf Palms compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Gulf Palms risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 3212003.7Houstonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 424Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 9.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.7%Peak (2014)
  • 86Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 48201321200
Filings climbed 18% over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 337Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Gulf Palms. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Gulf Palms

Adults with no health insurance runs 47.3% against 11.3% nationally. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10.

74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $38,256 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Disability prevalence runs 47.7% against 31.5% nationally.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,084, 20% below the Houston average. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 48201321200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201321200?

Census tract 48201321200 in the Gulf Palms neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 48201321200?

Median gross rent is $1,084/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 48201321200?

36.2% of residents in tract 48201321200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,883.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 48201321200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 83th, minority 95th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 48201321200 considered part of Gulf Palms?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201321200 fall within Gulf Palms (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 48201321200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 424 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 48201321200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.20% of renter households, peaking at 14.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 48201321200 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 48201321200 compare to Houston overall?

Tract 48201321200 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Houston

Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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