Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,265 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Houston
Tract 48201422303 · Harris, TX · pop 2,651 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
How risky is the Brays Oaks neighborhood of Houston for landlords? Census tract 48201422303 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $988 a month against an average household income of $25,714 a year, roughly 46% of income at the averages. Renters make up 91% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 9%
Tract context
Occupied units1,310
Renter share90.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate60.5%
Median income$25,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
88
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6478, -95.5058 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
60.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$988 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)
- 1,050Total filings 2020-21
- 13.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 19.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201422303
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201422303?
Census tract 48201422303 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201422303?
Median gross rent is $988/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201422303?
60.5% of residents in tract 48201422303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,651.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201422303?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 86th, minority 95th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 48201422303 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201422303 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201422303 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201422303 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201422303 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Westwood South
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Bayou Place
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Bayou Place
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Southbrook
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Crestmont
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · TX
Yaupon Grove
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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