Within neighborhood
70
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201422304 · Harris, TX · pop 3,813 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 48201422304 sits in the Brays Oaks area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 3,813 residents. Adults with no health insurance runs 36.8% against 11.3% nationally.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,074
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$52,882
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6531, -95.5064 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 215Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against Harris County at 49.5%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 1.1 points above the Harris County average of 4.0. At $1,190 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Houston commands. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the TX average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201422304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201422304?
Census tract 48201422304 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201422304?
Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201422304?
23.4% of residents in tract 48201422304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201422304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 98th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 48201422304 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201422304 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201422304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201422304 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201422304 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hawthorne Place
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Pamela Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Westwood South
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Alief
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201541603
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201551101
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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