Within neighborhood
70
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201422304 · Harris, TX · pop 3,813 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 48201422304, home to 3,813 residents in the Brays Oaks neighborhood of Houston, scores 5.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #43,731 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,190 a month against an average household income of $52,882 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,074
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$52,882
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6531, -95.5064 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,190 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 215Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.05×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.8/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Houston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harris County average of 5.2 and above the Texas statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.05x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201422304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201422304?
Census tract 48201422304 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201422304?
Median gross rent is $1,190/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201422304?
23.4% of residents in tract 48201422304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,813.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201422304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 98th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 48201422304 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201422304 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201422304 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.05× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201422304 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201422304 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Mayfair
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brays Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Brookhaven
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Foster Place
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Crestmont
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Parkridge
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Highland Heights
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · TX
Canfield Oaks
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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