Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Brays Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Houston
Tract 48201423204 · Harris, TX · pop 4,402 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 48201423204 sits in the Brays Oaks area of Houston eviction risk, TX, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. Population here is 4,402. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,674
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate42.5%
Median income$28,960
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Houston and the region
Centroid at 29.6685, -95.5318 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brays Oaks scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Houston
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Texas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,111 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Houston
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Houston
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Houston
2.5
How Brays Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 77%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,038Total filings 2020-21
- 13.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 28.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Houston, TX as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brays Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brays Oaks
Adults with no health insurance runs 46.6% against 11.3% nationally. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $28,960, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Disability prevalence runs 51.2% against 31.5% nationally. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 49.5% across Harris County.
Average gross rent is $1,111, 18% below the Houston average. Against the Harris County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 48201423204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 48201423204?
Census tract 48201423204 in the Brays Oaks neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 48201423204?
Median gross rent is $1,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 48201423204?
42.5% of residents in tract 48201423204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,402.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 48201423204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 77th, minority 95th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 48201423204 considered part of Brays Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 48201423204 fall within Brays Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 48201423204 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Houston eviction risk, TX), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 48201423204 compare to Houston overall?
Tract 48201423204 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Houston at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Houston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Houston
Top eight tracts in Houston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · TX
Greenspoint
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Old Sixth Ward
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Mahatma Gandhi District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Spring Branch
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Silverdale
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
48201231200
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Central City
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · TX
Hamlin's Woodland
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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